Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-16 0.003503 0.003678 0.003858 0.004056 0.004268 0.004488 0.004735
2025-03-23 0.003153 0.003409 0.003681 0.003994 0.004344 0.004725 0.005173
2025-03-30 0.002928 0.003227 0.003555 0.003941 0.004387 0.004889 0.005500
2025-04-06 0.002787 0.003120 0.003493 0.003942 0.004475 0.005091 0.005864
2025-04-13 0.002595 0.002939 0.003330 0.003812 0.004393 0.005080 0.005963
2025-04-20 0.002503 0.002868 0.003289 0.003816 0.004466 0.005250 0.006284
2025-04-27 0.002452 0.002840 0.003295 0.003874 0.004602 0.005499 0.006711
2025-05-04 0.002358 0.002755 0.003226 0.003835 0.004611 0.005586 0.006931
2025-05-11 0.002280 0.002686 0.003173 0.003811 0.004636 0.005691 0.007174
2025-05-18 0.002207 0.002620 0.003120 0.003783 0.004654 0.005783 0.007403
2025-05-25 0.002181 0.002610 0.003137 0.003843 0.004786 0.006032 0.007857
2025-06-01 0.002125 0.002560 0.003099 0.003830 0.004819 0.006146 0.008124
2025-06-08 0.002063 0.002502 0.003050 0.003802 0.004832 0.006233 0.008362
2025-06-15 0.001993 0.002431 0.002982 0.003745 0.004802 0.006260 0.008509
2025-06-22 0.001931 0.002368 0.002922 0.003697 0.004781 0.006296 0.008671
2025-06-29 0.001893 0.002334 0.002900 0.003698 0.004829 0.006431 0.008989
2025-07-06 0.001809 0.002239 0.002793 0.003578 0.004699 0.006302 0.008889
2025-07-13 0.001778 0.002212 0.002775 0.003583 0.004748 0.006436 0.009209
2025-07-20 0.001766 0.002210 0.002793 0.003636 0.004868 0.006682 0.009722
2025-07-27 0.001722 0.002165 0.002748 0.003599 0.004855 0.006724 0.009901
2025-08-03 0.001685 0.002128 0.002715 0.003577 0.004862 0.006795 0.010133
2025-08-10 0.001649 0.002091 0.002680 0.003552 0.004862 0.006857 0.010349
2025-08-17 0.001642 0.002094 0.002700 0.003607 0.004987 0.007118 0.010926